Archive for August 2008
The Georgia Crisis
To the President of Georgia,
Did you know that if you poke a bear up the arse with a big stick it will bite your fucking head off?
If so why didn’t you remember this when you decided to take on the armed might of Russia with a few battalions when your main forces are in Iraq? You rushed into a badly planned military adventure and got your arse kicked.
Your reasons were highly ambiguous. You thought you could play Cuba to Russia’s America. Very bad idea, old son.
Lets rewind back a few years to the Czechoslovakia crisis of 1938. Picture the South Ossetians as the Sudetenland Germans and Russia as Nazi Germany. Now picture Georgia as Czechoslovakia and we have a carbon copy of this weeks events.
Lessons were hard learned in 1938 and they have been applied this week. The UN will not act to save Georgia, as it simply isn’t worth the trouble at the minute. When a new, more sensible president is elected, we may do business with him. But he can never be allowed to join NATO, it would make the Russians too paranoid and lead to a new cold war.
The issues your country faces require a diplomatic solution, and now I speculate it will be carried out by a successor administration. But please do not try anything as dumb as fighting Russia again.
Leave the dumb stuff to us, we are professionals.
An open letter to the People of Zimbabwe
Please do think carefully about this power-sharing deal Mr Mugabe has proposed. Please bear in mind that dictators do not share power, it is not in their nature. Mugabe does not need Morgan Tsvangirai, in his mind at least. He has no respect for him, openly calling him a cry-baby for taking refuge in the Dutch embassy. This did save his life and preserve the head of the opposition.
The last person who tried power sharing with Mugabe was Joshua Nkomo, who was eventually outmanouvered and fled the country in fear of his life.
All he is trying to do is prise him out of sanctuary so he can kill him and stamp his authority down on the country. Who then could oppose him?
Of course Morgan will have to come out some time, but the conditions and the timing are not right yet. First Mr Mugabe needs to dismantle his internal security apparatus and disband his battalions of war veterans. Then the world may offer a helping hand.
So what now? Well Morgan Tsvangirai needs to address the Hague, Amnesty international, the Whitehouse, and the UN to offer himself as a credible alternative to the pirate Presidency currently holding Zimbabwe to ransom. Once a deal can be struck Mugabe can be transplanted to a country without extredition, maybe the Gold Coast, his Golden escape route. Then free elections can begin and food supplies can be flown into the country.
Then Zimbabwe can be truely great again.







